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9663.HK$3.13-7.12%
Fair $3.13+0.0%

9663.HK

Sino-Synergy Hydrogen Energy Technology (Jiaxing) Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsHKSE

$3.13

-0.24 (-7.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.13Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-405.9M · quality 73.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -19.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9663.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Sino-Synergy Hydrogen Energy Technology (Jiaxing) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-19.7%

↓

Gross Margin

8.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$9

TradingView lightweight chart

9663.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.130Periodo -84.2%
Fair value: $3.130

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-26.3%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $299.9M · net income $-483.8M · FCF $-78.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.2%-13.0% pts

Operating margin

-105.5%-85.4% pts

Net margin

-161.3%-124.8% pts

FCF margin

-26.3%+57.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$299.9M$299.9M$442.4M$700.6M$748.5M
Net Income$-483.8M$-483.8M$-407.2M$-404.4M$-273.4M
EBITDA$-347.6M$-347.6M$-286.9M$-347.3M$-228.8M
EPS——-0.79-0.95-0.53
Gross Margin8.2%8.2%9.0%25.1%21.2%
Operating Margin-105.5%-105.5%-80.5%-38.9%-20.2%
Net Margin-161.3%-161.3%-92.0%-57.7%-36.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.200.110.14
Current Ratio2.142.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-78.9M$-78.9M$-528.1M$-405.9M$-624.7M
Returns
ROE-19.7%-19.7%-13.7%-12.0%-11.9%
Valuation
P/B0.650.651.742.14—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-32.2%-32.2%-36.9%-6.4%—
EPS Growth——16.8%-80.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -62.5%

Total return

-62.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.79 → n/d

Residual

-62.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-62.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.