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9699.T$3690.00-2.86%
Fair $3690.00+0.0%

9699.T

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesTokyo

$3690.00

-110.00 (-2.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3690.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $21.2B · quality 77.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9699.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$102.4B

P/E

8.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

8.7%

↑

Gross Margin

40.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.69

↑
52-Week Range$3690
$3685$4880

TradingView lightweight chart

9699.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,730Periodo +440.6%
Fair value: $3,690

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

+29.0%

FCF margin

12.7%

FCF / Net income

2.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $214.95B · net income $12.11B · FCF $27.24B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.5%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

9.1%+0.4% pts

Net margin

5.6%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

12.7%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$214.95B$214.95B$199.00B$185.66B$170.63B
Net Income$12.11B$12.11B$11.60B$10.29B$9.17B
EBITDA$53.94B$53.94B$52.87B$49.15B$46.36B
EPS436.05436.05417.67370.44330.13
Gross Margin40.5%40.5%40.7%40.0%40.0%
Operating Margin9.1%9.1%9.1%8.8%8.7%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%5.8%5.5%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.690.690.720.760.82
Current Ratio1.441.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$27.24B$27.24B$21.18B$12.56B$12.69B
Returns
ROE8.7%8.7%8.8%8.4%8.0%
Valuation
P/E8.888.889.729.049.07
EV/EBITDA2.532.532.992.902.79
P/B0.740.740.850.760.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%7.2%8.8%—
EPS Growth4.4%4.4%12.7%12.2%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$327.43

Spread vs growth

13.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$396.19

Spread vs growth

6.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$638.06

Spread vs growth

0.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.3%

Total return

-0.3%

Start / end P/E

9.3x → 8.6x

EPS bridge

417.67 → 436.05

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth+4.4%
Multiple rerating-7.9%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.