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9704.T$27.00-6.90%
Fair $27.00+0.0%

9704.T

AGORA Hospitality Group Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingTokyo

$27.00

-2.00 (-6.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-806.4M · quality 35.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9704.TLocal privado en este navegador · AGORA Hospitality Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

5.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

22.5%

↑

Gross Margin

35.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.57

↑
52-Week Range$27
$26$74

TradingView lightweight chart

9704.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.00Periodo -94.3%
Fair value: $27.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.9%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.91B · net income $1.27B · FCF $288.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.6%+26.9% pts

Operating margin

10.7%+39.0% pts

Net margin

12.9%+39.1% pts

FCF margin

2.9%+13.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.91B$9.91B$8.38B$7.31B$4.95B
Net Income$1.27B$1.27B$108.1M$-149.5M$-1.30B
EBITDA$2.77B$2.77B$817.1M$486.2M$-674.6M
EPS4.824.820.43-0.59-5.11
Gross Margin35.6%35.6%33.2%27.2%8.6%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%6.0%-1.3%-28.3%
Net Margin12.9%12.9%1.3%-2.0%-26.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.571.572.352.191.95
Current Ratio1.821.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$288.6M$288.6M$-2.28B$-806.4M$-523.2M
Returns
ROE22.5%22.5%2.8%-4.3%-35.7%
Valuation
P/E5.605.60113.95——
EV/EBITDA4.674.6722.6621.99—
P/B1.341.343.271.661.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.3%18.3%14.6%47.6%—
EPS Growth1020.9%1020.9%172.9%88.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.40

Spread vs growth

1041.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.90

Spread vs growth

1030.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.67

Spread vs growth

1021.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -59.7%

Total return

-59.7%

Start / end P/E

155.8x → 5.6x

EPS bridge

0.43 → 4.82

Residual

-984.2%

EPS growth+1020.9%
Multiple rerating-96.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-984.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.