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9713.T$901.00+0.90%
Fair $901.00+0.0%

9713.T

The Royal Hotel, Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingTokyo

$901.00

+8.00 (+0.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $901.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-503.0M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9713.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Royal Hotel, Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.8B

P/E

14.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.6x

↓

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

83.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$901
$865$1097

TradingView lightweight chart

9713.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $901.00Periodo -62.5%
Fair value: $901.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.16B · net income $1.74B · FCF $630.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

83.8%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

3.6%+53.5% pts

Net margin

6.9%+36.1% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+33.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.16B$25.16B$20.67B$26.40B$16.46B
Net Income$1.74B$1.74B$901.0M$13.31B$-4.81B
EBITDA$2.44B$2.44B$797.0M$15.08B$-3.03B
EPS91.9691.9647.70934.58-469.73
Gross Margin83.8%83.8%82.5%78.3%75.7%
Operating Margin3.6%3.6%2.7%-11.3%-49.9%
Net Margin6.9%6.9%4.4%50.4%-29.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.000.001.98
Current Ratio3.153.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$630.0M$630.0M$-2.09B$-503.0M$-5.16B
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%4.5%70.3%-29.9%
Valuation
P/E14.5614.5623.631.44—
EV/EBITDA2.582.5811.280.32—
P/B0.790.791.071.010.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.8%21.8%-21.7%60.3%—
EPS Growth92.8%92.8%-94.9%299.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$79.95

Spread vs growth

97.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$96.74

Spread vs growth

91.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$155.80

Spread vs growth

87.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.3%

Total return

+1.3%

Start / end P/E

18.6x → 9.8x

EPS bridge

47.70 → 91.96

Residual

-44.0%

EPS growth+92.8%
Multiple rerating-47.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-44.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.