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9759.T$2588.00-0.67%
Fair $2588.00+0.0%

9759.T

NSD Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$2588.00

-17.50 (-0.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2588.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.4B · quality 83.3/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9759.TLocal privado en este navegador · NSD Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$196.5B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.7x

↓

ROE

17.5%

↑

Gross Margin

25.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2588
$2509$3670

TradingView lightweight chart

9759.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,588Periodo +25.3%
Fair value: $2,588

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.8%

FCF CAGR

+18.6%

FCF margin

10.6%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $107.79B · net income $11.79B · FCF $11.43B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.5%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

15.6%-0.4% pts

Net margin

10.9%-0.0% pts

FCF margin

10.6%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$107.79B$107.79B$101.26B$77.98B$71.19B
Net Income$11.79B$11.79B$10.26B$10.22B$7.82B
EBITDA$19.73B$19.73B$17.97B$15.60B$12.35B
EPS——133.28132.3099.36
Gross Margin25.5%25.5%24.6%22.5%22.2%
Operating Margin15.6%15.6%15.0%16.1%16.0%
Net Margin10.9%10.9%10.1%13.1%11.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.05——
Current Ratio3.933.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.43B$11.43B$11.64B$9.74B$6.85B
Returns
ROE17.5%17.5%16.5%18.7%15.3%
Valuation
P/E15.1915.1922.1417.8922.86
EV/EBITDA8.748.7411.319.2612.06
P/B2.942.943.643.343.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.4%6.4%29.9%9.5%—
EPS Growth——0.7%33.2%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.6%

Total return

-21.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

133.28 → n/d

Residual

-25.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.