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9763.T$1200.00-1.64%
Fair $1200.00+0.0%

9763.T

Maruken Lease Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesTokyo

$1200.00

-20.00 (-1.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1200.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $167.0M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9763.TLocal privado en este navegador · Maruken Lease Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.4B

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

18.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$1200
$998$1683

TradingView lightweight chart

9763.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,200Periodo +393.2%
Fair value: $1,200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $22.81B · net income $1.22B · FCF $-122.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.9%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

6.7%+1.1% pts

Net margin

5.3%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$22.81B$22.81B$21.32B$20.10B$19.10B
Net Income$1.22B$1.22B$1.16B$1.11B$1.00B
EBITDA$1.94B$1.94B$1.77B$1.69B$1.61B
EPS128.02128.02122.01115.29100.37
Gross Margin18.9%18.9%18.2%17.8%17.5%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%6.2%5.8%5.6%
Net Margin5.3%5.3%5.4%5.5%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.330.370.43
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-122.0M$-122.0M$167.0M$1.13B$894.0M
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%7.3%7.5%7.1%
Valuation
P/E8.408.408.075.615.76
EV/EBITDA9.199.198.036.456.74
P/B0.680.680.590.420.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.9%6.9%6.1%5.2%—
EPS Growth4.9%4.9%5.8%14.9%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$106.48

Spread vs growth

10.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$128.84

Spread vs growth

4.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$207.50

Spread vs growth

-0.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.4%

Total return

+20.4%

Start / end P/E

8.5x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

122.01 → 128.02

Residual

+0.5%

EPS growth+4.9%
Multiple rerating+10.5%
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.