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9767.T$1400.00+0.00%
Fair $1400.00+0.0%

9767.T

Nikken Kogaku Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentTokyo

$1400.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1400.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $422.6M · quality 73.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9767.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nikken Kogaku Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

9.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.3x

↓

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

30.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$1400
$1331$2125

TradingView lightweight chart

9767.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,400Periodo -42.9%
Fair value: $1,400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.8%

FCF CAGR

-62.6%

FCF margin

0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.52B · net income $283.5M · FCF $36.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.8%+4.9% pts

Operating margin

6.2%-3.4% pts

Net margin

5.1%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

0.7%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.52B$5.52B$6.19B$6.25B$8.32B
Net Income$283.5M$283.5M$284.6M$280.6M$662.1M
EBITDA$548.7M$548.7M$592.5M$649.7M$1.12B
EPS155.55155.55156.14153.92363.07
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%27.3%26.6%26.0%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%4.7%5.6%9.6%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%4.6%4.5%8.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.120.200.19
Current Ratio4.134.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$36.0M$36.0M$527.5M$422.6M$685.5M
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%6.5%6.9%17.3%
Valuation
P/E9.079.0710.449.134.35
EV/EBITDA0.250.250.930.760.80
P/B0.560.560.680.630.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.9%-10.9%-0.9%-24.9%—
EPS Growth-0.4%-0.4%1.4%-57.6%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$124.23

Spread vs growth

6.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$150.31

Spread vs growth

0.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$242.08

Spread vs growth

-4.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.6%

Total return

-0.6%

Start / end P/E

9.2x → 9.0x

EPS bridge

156.14 → 155.55

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth-0.4%
Multiple rerating-2.4%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.