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9827.T$589.00-1.51%
Fair $589.00+0.0%

9827.T

Lilycolor Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesTokyo

$589.00

-9.00 (-1.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $589.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $898.5M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9827.TLocal privado en este navegador · Lilycolor Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.3B

P/E

13.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

6.4%

↑

Gross Margin

33.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$589
$555$732

TradingView lightweight chart

9827.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $589.00Periodo +194.5%
Fair value: $589.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

2.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $33.21B · net income $523.0M · FCF $1.45B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.5%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-2.5% pts

Net margin

1.6%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$33.21B$33.21B$33.80B$32.77B$33.25B
Net Income$523.0M$523.0M$111.2M$929.8M$961.6M
EBITDA$1.06B$1.06B$561.6M$1.65B$1.73B
EPS——9.0375.6378.21
Gross Margin33.5%33.5%30.2%35.5%35.9%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%0.7%4.4%4.9%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%0.3%2.8%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.400.210.27
Current Ratio1.491.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.45B$1.45B$-955.8M$898.5M$-1.34B
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%1.4%10.9%12.5%
Valuation
P/E13.8713.8770.106.987.79
EV/EBITDA5.675.6713.813.334.19
P/B0.890.890.960.760.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.8%-1.8%3.2%-1.5%—
EPS Growth——-88.1%-3.3%—
Dividend Yield6.0%6.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.3%

Total return

+10.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

9.03 → n/d

Residual

+4.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.