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9845.T$1313.00-0.98%
Fair $1313.00+0.0%

9845.T

Parker Corporation

Industrials / Industrial DistributionTokyo

$1313.00

-13.00 (-0.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1313.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.9B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9845.TLocal privado en este navegador · Parker Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.9B

P/E

7.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$1313
$811$1754

TradingView lightweight chart

9845.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,313Periodo +124.8%
Fair value: $1,313

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.9%

FCF CAGR

+57.5%

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $70.01B · net income $2.81B · FCF $3.86B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.7%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

7.0%+1.6% pts

Net margin

4.0%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$70.01B$70.01B$67.73B$56.79B$49.98B
Net Income$2.81B$2.81B$3.60B$2.48B$1.52B
EBITDA$5.80B$5.80B$7.30B$5.49B$4.69B
EPS112.40112.40143.9999.0259.88
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%24.1%23.6%23.7%
Operating Margin7.0%7.0%6.7%6.4%5.4%
Net Margin4.0%4.0%5.3%4.4%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.140.150.15
Current Ratio3.083.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.86B$3.86B$3.95B$3.06B$988.0M
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%8.7%6.8%4.6%
Valuation
P/E7.007.006.775.918.33
EV/EBITDA2.802.801.530.400.66
P/B0.720.720.590.400.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%19.3%13.6%—
EPS Growth-21.9%-21.9%45.4%65.4%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$116.51

Spread vs growth

-23.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$140.97

Spread vs growth

-26.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$227.04

Spread vs growth

-29.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +64.3%

Total return

+64.3%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 11.7x

EPS bridge

143.99 → 112.40

Residual

-23.1%

EPS growth-21.9%
Multiple rerating+105.4%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.