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9876.HK$2.95-1.01%
Fair $2.95+0.0%

9876.HK

Ocean One Holding Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsHKSE

$2.95

-0.03 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.95Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.6M · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 72/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9876.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ocean One Holding Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$826M

P/E

19.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.0x

↑

ROE

14.3%

↑

Gross Margin

16.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

9876.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.950Periodo +139.8%
Fair value: $2.950

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.1%

FCF CAGR

+24.9%

FCF margin

10.8%

FCF / Net income

1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $395.9M · net income $41.7M · FCF $42.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.6%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

11.5%+0.3% pts

Net margin

10.5%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

10.8%+5.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$395.9M$395.9M$458.7M$467.3M$408.6M
Net Income$41.7M$41.7M$40.8M$50.2M$37.4M
EBITDA$53.5M$53.5M$53.7M$64.7M$49.7M
EPS0.150.150.150.180.13
Gross Margin16.6%16.6%14.5%16.8%15.8%
Operating Margin11.5%11.5%10.1%12.7%11.2%
Net Margin10.5%10.5%8.9%10.7%9.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.010.00
Current Ratio16.8116.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.6M$42.6M$35.0M$40.6M$21.9M
Returns
ROE14.3%14.3%15.6%21.6%19.6%
Valuation
P/E19.6719.6713.494.085.07
EV/EBITDA15.0415.048.342.272.87
P/B2.832.832.110.881.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.7%-13.7%-1.8%14.4%—
EPS Growth2.1%2.1%-18.4%33.6%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

-18.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.32

Spread vs growth

-14.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.51

Spread vs growth

-11.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.1%

Total return

-8.1%

Start / end P/E

22.3x → 19.8x

EPS bridge

0.15 → 0.15

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth+2.1%
Multiple rerating-11.3%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.