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9878.HK$7.25+1.12%
Fair $7.25+0.0%

9878.HK

Huitongda Network Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationHKSE

$7.25

+0.08 (+1.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.25Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $396.8M · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9878.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Huitongda Network Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

11.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

4.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$21

TradingView lightweight chart

9878.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.250Periodo -83.9%
Fair value: $7.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-14.0%

FCF CAGR

+24.3%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

1.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $52.30B · net income $300.3M · FCF $396.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.5%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

1.9%+1.0% pts

Net margin

0.6%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

0.8%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$52.30B$52.30B$60.06B$82.43B$82.11B
Net Income$300.3M$300.3M$269.7M$448.3M$316.4M
EBITDA$861.4M$861.4M$828.4M$1.13B$1.01B
EPS——0.490.800.63
Gross Margin4.5%4.5%3.8%3.3%3.2%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%1.4%1.1%0.9%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%0.4%0.5%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.180.090.10
Current Ratio1.341.34———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$396.8M$396.8M$247.4M$437.9M$206.5M
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%3.5%5.8%3.9%
Valuation
P/E11.5111.5133.8438.2562.54
EV/EBITDA2.472.479.4212.5117.46
P/B0.500.501.182.212.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.9%-12.9%-27.1%0.4%—
EPS Growth——-38.8%27.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -58.6%

Total return

-58.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.49 → n/d

Residual

-58.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-58.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.