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9896.T$1276.00-3.48%
Fair $1276.00+0.0%

9896.T

JK Holdings Co., Ltd.

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$1276.00

-46.00 (-3.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1276.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.3B · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9896.TLocal privado en este navegador · JK Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$33.5B

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.7x

↓

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$1276
$1142$1599

TradingView lightweight chart

9896.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,276Periodo +132.4%
Fair value: $1,276

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

-19.6%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $393.26B · net income $4.28B · FCF $3.30B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-1.4% pts

Net margin

1.1%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

0.8%-0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$393.26B$393.26B$388.91B$407.02B$376.12B
Net Income$4.28B$4.28B$5.05B$6.69B$8.91B
EBITDA$10.60B$10.60B$11.40B$14.00B$15.87B
EPS148.18148.18174.67224.85298.63
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%12.0%11.7%12.6%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%2.0%2.4%3.3%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.3%1.6%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.620.720.82
Current Ratio1.091.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.30B$3.30B$19.21B$6.25B$6.35B
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%8.3%11.9%17.2%
Valuation
P/E8.578.576.184.393.87
EV/EBITDA1.741.741.081.932.37
P/B0.580.580.510.520.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.1%1.1%-4.4%8.2%—
EPS Growth-15.2%-15.2%-22.3%-24.7%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$113.22

Spread vs growth

-6.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$137.00

Spread vs growth

-13.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$220.64

Spread vs growth

-19.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.4%

Total return

+14.4%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 8.6x

EPS bridge

174.67 → 148.18

Residual

-4.4%

EPS growth-15.2%
Multiple rerating+29.3%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.