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9905.TW$20.85+0.48%
Fair $20.85+0.0%

9905.TW

Great China Metal Ind. Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTaiwan

$20.85

+0.10 (+0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.85Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $426.5M · quality 84.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9905.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Great China Metal Ind. Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

16.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.9x

↓

ROE

4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

9.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$21
$20$24

TradingView lightweight chart

9905.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.85Periodo +55.6%
Fair value: $20.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.3%

FCF CAGR

-3.3%

FCF margin

5.2%

FCF / Net income

1.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.18B · net income $396.9M · FCF $426.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.6%-1.8% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-1.4% pts

Net margin

4.9%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

5.2%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.18B$8.18B$8.37B$8.40B$8.77B
Net Income$396.9M$396.9M$498.3M$442.2M$473.3M
EBITDA$872.2M$872.2M$1.04B$982.1M$1.04B
EPS——1.631.451.55
Gross Margin9.6%9.6%11.3%10.9%11.5%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%6.0%5.6%5.9%
Net Margin4.9%4.9%6.0%5.3%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.180.190.22
Current Ratio3.513.51———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$426.5M$426.5M$521.1M$396.1M$471.3M
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%6.2%5.9%6.3%
Valuation
P/E16.0416.0414.1116.6215.71
EV/EBITDA7.897.897.548.348.07
P/B0.780.780.880.980.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.2%-2.2%-0.4%-4.2%—
EPS Growth——12.4%-6.5%—
Dividend Yield5.8%5.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.4%

Total return

-4.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.63 → n/d

Residual

-10.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.