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9917.TW$114.00-0.87%
Fair $114.00+0.0%

9917.TW

Taiwan Secom Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesTaiwan

$114.00

-1.00 (-0.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $114.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 76.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9917.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Taiwan Secom Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$50.6B

P/E

16.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

22.1%

↑

Gross Margin

32.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$114
$104$124

TradingView lightweight chart

9917.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $114.00Periodo +162.2%
Fair value: $114.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

+15.7%

FCF margin

13.0%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.98B · net income $3.01B · FCF $2.47B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.6%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

16.2%+0.1% pts

Net margin

15.8%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

13.0%+2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.98B$18.98B$17.86B$17.07B$15.36B
Net Income$3.01B$3.01B$2.85B$2.59B$2.58B
EBITDA$5.77B$5.77B$5.38B$4.93B$4.71B
EPS——6.415.855.84
Gross Margin32.6%32.6%32.6%32.7%33.0%
Operating Margin16.2%16.2%16.4%15.5%16.1%
Net Margin15.8%15.8%15.9%15.2%16.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.650.590.510.52
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.47B$2.47B$1.87B$1.59B$1.59B
Returns
ROE22.1%22.1%21.9%20.6%21.4%
Valuation
P/E16.8616.8619.4219.6616.93
EV/EBITDA9.309.3010.6810.689.50
P/B3.713.714.244.053.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.3%6.3%4.6%11.2%—
EPS Growth——9.6%0.2%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.7%

Total return

+0.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

6.41 → n/d

Residual

-3.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.