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9927.T$966.00+0.31%
Fair $966.00+0.0%

9927.T

Watt Mann Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$966.00

+3.00 (+0.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $966.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $319.2M · quality 71.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9927.TLocal privado en este navegador · Watt Mann Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.5B

P/E

21.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.2x

↑

ROE

10.1%

↑

Gross Margin

45.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$966
$727$971

TradingView lightweight chart

9927.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $966.00Periodo +168.3%
Fair value: $966.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.7%

FCF CAGR

+29.6%

FCF margin

3.3%

FCF / Net income

0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.38B · net income $345.1M · FCF $280.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.3%-8.6% pts

Operating margin

7.0%+2.0% pts

Net margin

4.1%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

3.3%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.38B$8.38B$7.85B$7.42B$5.41B
Net Income$345.1M$345.1M$459.9M$355.8M$263.9M
EBITDA$627.4M$627.4M$770.0M$615.5M$354.3M
EPS39.4439.4452.5640.6630.30
Gross Margin45.3%45.3%46.3%45.9%53.8%
Operating Margin7.0%7.0%8.3%6.9%5.0%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%5.9%4.8%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.160.220.30
Current Ratio4.804.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$280.0M$280.0M$319.2M$536.8M$128.7M
Returns
ROE10.1%10.1%14.3%12.4%10.3%
Valuation
P/E21.7621.7613.4314.8811.20
EV/EBITDA11.2011.206.256.686.28
P/B2.472.471.921.851.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.8%6.8%5.8%37.2%—
EPS Growth-25.0%-25.0%29.3%34.2%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

29.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$85.72

Spread vs growth

-54.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$103.72

Spread vs growth

-46.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$167.04

Spread vs growth

-40.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.8%

Total return

+27.8%

Start / end P/E

14.6x → 24.5x

EPS bridge

52.56 → 39.44

Residual

-16.9%

EPS growth-25.0%
Multiple rerating+67.6%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.