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9930.T$344.00+0.29%
Fair $344.00+0.0%

9930.T

Kitazawa Sangyo Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$344.00

+1.00 (+0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $344.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-144.6M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9930.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kitazawa Sangyo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

29.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

29.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$344
$331$397

TradingView lightweight chart

9930.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $344.00Periodo +57.8%
Fair value: $344.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.56B · net income $648.5M · FCF $-1.19B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.1%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

5.4%+3.0% pts

Net margin

4.2%+3.2% pts

FCF margin

-7.7%-10.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.56B$15.56B$16.47B$16.22B$15.60B
Net Income$648.5M$648.5M$665.2M$455.5M$154.7M
EBITDA$1.30B$1.30B$1.32B$1.02B$658.4M
EPS34.8834.8835.7824.508.32
Gross Margin29.1%29.1%28.0%26.8%25.6%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%6.0%4.3%2.4%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%4.0%2.8%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.210.230.24
Current Ratio1.631.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.19B$-1.19B$1.19B$-144.6M$429.5M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%6.4%4.9%1.7%
Valuation
P/E29.0829.089.3312.9026.68
EV/EBITDA3.543.542.403.822.75
P/B0.590.590.600.630.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%1.5%4.0%—
EPS Growth-2.5%-2.5%46.0%194.5%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$30.52

Spread vs growth

1.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$36.93

Spread vs growth

-3.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$59.48

Spread vs growth

-8.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.0%

Total return

-7.0%

Start / end P/E

10.7x → 9.9x

EPS bridge

35.78 → 34.88

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growth-2.5%
Multiple rerating-7.6%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.