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9950.T$3415.00+0.00%
Fair $3415.00+0.0%

9950.T

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$3415.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3415.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $153.1M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9950.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.0B

P/E

166.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.5x

↑

ROE

6.4%

↑

Gross Margin

45.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$3415
$3355$3535

TradingView lightweight chart

9950.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,415Periodo +33.9%
Fair value: $3,415

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.23B · net income $236.2M · FCF $-424.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.5%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

3.2%+9.0% pts

Net margin

2.9%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

-5.2%-6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.23B$8.23B$7.62B$7.11B$5.92B
Net Income$236.2M$236.2M$160.5M$65.2M$-168.6M
EBITDA$665.2M$665.2M$401.7M$354.9M$59.6M
EPS80.4980.4954.8522.28-57.70
Gross Margin45.5%45.5%46.2%47.5%44.8%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%3.1%2.4%-5.8%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%2.1%0.9%-2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.260.090.28
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-424.5M$-424.5M$223.4M$153.1M$70.3M
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%4.7%2.0%-5.3%
Valuation
P/E166.67166.6763.81138.24—
EV/EBITDA14.4814.4823.7623.85143.27
P/B2.732.733.032.802.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%7.3%20.2%—
EPS Growth46.7%46.7%146.2%138.6%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

55.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$303.02

Spread vs growth

-8.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$366.66

Spread vs growth

11.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$590.51

Spread vs growth

24.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.2%

Total return

+1.2%

Start / end P/E

61.9x → 42.4x

EPS bridge

54.85 → 80.49

Residual

-14.7%

EPS growth+46.7%
Multiple rerating-31.5%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.