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9956.T$3280.00-4.23%
Fair $3280.00+0.0%

9956.T

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresTokyo

$3280.00

-145.00 (-4.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3280.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.8B · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9956.TLocal privado en este navegador · Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$172.8B

P/E

11.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

29.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.75

↑
52-Week Range$3280
$2390$3995

TradingView lightweight chart

9956.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,280Periodo +257.8%
Fair value: $3,280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.4%

FCF / Net income

0.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $854.43B · net income $13.65B · FCF $3.73B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.1%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-0.2% pts

Net margin

1.6%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

0.4%+0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$854.43B$854.43B$807.79B$759.98B$732.52B
Net Income$13.65B$13.65B$11.95B$7.60B$9.01B
EBITDA$47.26B$47.26B$44.43B$39.48B$42.30B
EPS257.62257.62223.00141.58167.82
Gross Margin29.1%29.1%29.0%29.0%29.0%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%2.8%2.6%2.9%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%1.5%1.0%1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.750.750.750.780.84
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.73B$3.73B$13.25B$10.75B$-2.48B
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%7.3%5.0%6.1%
Valuation
P/E10.9510.9510.9513.0812.81
EV/EBITDA5.925.925.054.985.15
P/B1.021.020.800.650.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.8%5.8%6.3%3.7%—
EPS Growth15.5%15.5%57.5%-15.6%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$291.05

Spread vs growth

11.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$352.16

Spread vs growth

9.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$567.17

Spread vs growth

7.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +36.2%

Total return

+36.2%

Start / end P/E

11.0x → 12.7x

EPS bridge

223.00 → 257.62

Residual

+2.5%

EPS growth+15.5%
Multiple rerating+16.0%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.