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9958.HK$0.15+5.00%
Fair $0.15+0.0%

9958.HK

Litian Pictures Holdings Limited

Communication Services / EntertainmentHKSE

$0.15

+0.01 (+5.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.15Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.1M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9958.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Litian Pictures Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$74M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

414.8%

↑

Gross Margin

30.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

-15.33

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

9958.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.147Periodo -90.8%
Fair value: $0.147

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-63.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

73.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.1M · net income $-43.1M · FCF $11.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

30.8%+47.1% pts

Operating margin

-118.9%-93.8% pts

Net margin

-285.1%-260.5% pts

FCF margin

73.5%+118.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$15.1M$15.1M$113.4M$23.1M$305.0M
Net Income$-43.1M$-43.1M$-155.5M$-295.7M$-75.1M
EBITDA$-29.6M$-29.6M$-120.6M$-245.9M$-91.7M
EPS-0.14-0.14-0.52-0.99-0.25
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%-59.7%-818.4%-16.3%
Operating Margin-118.9%-118.9%-80.8%-924.0%-25.1%
Net Margin-285.1%-285.1%-137.0%-1278.7%-24.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-15.33-15.335.021.160.28
Current Ratio0.170.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.1M$11.1M$63.9M$-77.4M$-137.4M
Returns
ROE414.8%414.8%-472.9%-158.2%-15.7%
Valuation
P/B——11.861.640.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-86.7%-86.7%390.7%-92.4%—
EPS Growth73.1%73.1%47.5%-296.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.7%

Total return

+54.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.52 → -0.14

Residual

+54.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+54.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.