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9959.T$910.00+1.34%
Fair $910.00+0.0%

9959.T

Aseed Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicTokyo

$910.00

+12.00 (+1.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $910.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-80.0M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9959.TLocal privado en este navegador · Aseed Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.2B

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↑

ROE

10.4%

↑

Gross Margin

38.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$910
$626$1459

TradingView lightweight chart

9959.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $910.00Periodo +140.1%
Fair value: $910.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.97B · net income $748.0M · FCF $-80.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.0%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

3.2%-0.2% pts

Net margin

3.1%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

-0.3%-1.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$23.97B$23.97B$23.26B$21.23B$19.28B
Net Income$748.0M$748.0M$768.0M$602.0M$178.0M
EBITDA$1.83B$1.83B$1.92B$1.51B$1.36B
EPS60.8660.8662.6751.2214.66
Gross Margin38.0%38.0%37.8%37.8%39.6%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%3.3%3.2%3.4%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%3.3%2.8%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.011.021.171.06
Current Ratio0.970.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-80.0M$-80.0M$1.13B$-401.0M$276.0M
Returns
ROE10.4%10.4%11.6%10.7%3.5%
Valuation
P/E12.3312.339.7310.6435.74
EV/EBITDA9.139.136.607.888.01
P/B1.551.551.131.141.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%9.6%10.1%—
EPS Growth-2.9%-2.9%22.4%249.4%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$80.75

Spread vs growth

-12.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$97.70

Spread vs growth

-12.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$157.35

Spread vs growth

-12.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.2%

Total return

+34.2%

Start / end P/E

11.0x → 15.0x

EPS bridge

62.67 → 60.86

Residual

-1.0%

EPS growth-2.9%
Multiple rerating+35.4%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.