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9969.T$223.00-1.76%
Fair $223.00+0.0%

9969.T

Shokubun Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$223.00

-4.00 (-1.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $223.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 12/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.7M · quality 40.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

12/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -2.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9969.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shokubun Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

22.7x

↑

ROE

-2.9%

↓

Gross Margin

37.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$223
$223$266

TradingView lightweight chart

9969.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $223.00Periodo -71.4%
Fair value: $223.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.0%

FCF / Net income

0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.06B · net income $-70.0M · FCF $-2.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.2%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

0.3%-3.4% pts

Net margin

-1.2%-4.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.0%-2.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.06B$6.06B$6.39B$7.02B$6.88B
Net Income$-70.0M$-70.0M$-15.9M$268.1M$221.9M
EBITDA$180.1M$180.1M$214.6M$451.2M$369.9M
EPS-4.56-4.56-1.0317.4114.37
Gross Margin37.2%37.2%38.0%38.7%39.7%
Operating Margin0.3%0.3%0.8%2.9%3.7%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%-0.2%3.8%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.850.921.06
Current Ratio0.860.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.7M$-2.7M$153.3M$14.7M$131.5M
Returns
ROE-2.9%-2.9%-0.6%10.2%8.8%
Valuation
P/E———13.4415.38
EV/EBITDA22.7422.7421.289.2110.80
P/B1.411.411.561.371.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.2%-5.2%-8.9%2.1%—
EPS Growth-342.7%-342.7%-105.9%21.2%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.6%

Total return

-5.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.03 → -4.56

Residual

-6.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.