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9973.T$22.00+0.00%
Fair $22.00+0.0%

9973.T

KOZO Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$22.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 12%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-275.4M · quality 27.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.32, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9973.TLocal privado en este navegador · KOZO Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-183.3%

↓

Gross Margin

38.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.32

↑
52-Week Range$22
$16$49

TradingView lightweight chart

9973.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $22.00Periodo -98.5%
Fair value: $22.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

1.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.44B · net income $-684.5M · FCF $-847.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.1%-11.4% pts

Operating margin

-1.5%+4.4% pts

Net margin

-3.5%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%+3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19.44B$19.44B$18.11B$13.05B$10.29B
Net Income$-684.5M$-684.5M$-782.6M$-338.5M$-953.6M
EBITDA$-473.0M$-473.0M$-554.7M$-163.7M$-692.6M
EPS——-3.44-1.66-5.48
Gross Margin38.1%38.1%37.6%39.6%49.6%
Operating Margin-1.5%-1.5%-2.4%-1.8%-6.0%
Net Margin-3.5%-3.5%-4.3%-2.6%-9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.322.3210.444.761.50
Current Ratio0.980.98———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-847.1M$-847.1M$-275.4M$150.9M$-777.8M
Returns
ROE-183.3%-183.3%-738.3%-126.3%-226.0%
Valuation
P/B15.8815.8840.7714.427.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.4%7.4%38.7%26.8%—
EPS Growth——-107.2%69.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.4%

Total return

+29.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.44 → n/d

Residual

+29.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+29.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.