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9978.T$45.00+0.00%
Fair $45.00+0.0%

9978.T

Bunkyodo Group Holdings Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$45.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $45.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 5/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.0M · quality 16.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

5/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.46, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -13.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9978.TLocal privado en este navegador · Bunkyodo Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-13.4%

↓

Gross Margin

28.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.46

↑
52-Week Range$45
$43$75

TradingView lightweight chart

9978.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $45.00Periodo -95.7%
Fair value: $45.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

0.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.46B · net income $-154.9M · FCF $-61.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.5%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%-0.9% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.4%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.46B$14.46B$14.93B$15.47B$16.49B
Net Income$-154.9M$-154.9M$42.8M$96.7M$73.2M
EBITDA$-9.0M$-9.0M$178.0M$236.1M$221.9M
EPS-3.57-3.570.771.731.31
Gross Margin28.5%28.5%28.0%28.4%27.6%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%0.2%0.5%0.3%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%0.3%0.6%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.463.463.343.584.13
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-61.6M$-61.6M$772.7M$-16.0M$-3.7M
Returns
ROE-13.4%-13.4%3.3%7.6%6.3%
Valuation
P/E——85.7122.5436.64
EV/EBITDA——32.0722.7625.91
P/B1.711.712.181.341.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.1%-3.1%-3.5%-6.2%—
EPS Growth-563.6%-563.6%-55.5%32.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.2%

Total return

-8.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.77 → -3.57

Residual

-8.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.