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v0.1
9996.T$2122.00-0.19%
Fair $2122.00+0.0%

9996.T

Satoh & Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$2122.00

-4.00 (-0.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2122.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $569.9M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9996.TLocal privado en este navegador · Satoh & Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.7B

P/E

14.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

5.0%

↓

Gross Margin

22.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2122
$1850$2479

TradingView lightweight chart

9996.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,122Periodo +198.9%
Fair value: $2,122

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $49.14B · net income $1.32B · FCF $-1.10B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.3%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

3.4%+1.2% pts

Net margin

2.7%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%-2.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$49.14B$49.14B$47.61B$43.67B$38.85B
Net Income$1.32B$1.32B$1.23B$968.3M$628.0M
EBITDA$2.37B$2.37B$2.14B$1.68B$1.22B
EPS157.69157.69147.18116.0971.35
Gross Margin22.3%22.3%22.2%22.3%22.6%
Operating Margin3.4%3.4%3.2%2.8%2.2%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%2.6%2.2%1.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.030.03
Current Ratio1.951.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.10B$-1.10B$3.12B$569.9M$184.8M
Returns
ROE5.0%5.0%4.8%4.0%2.7%
Valuation
P/E14.1214.1212.5910.3318.92
EV/EBITDA7.037.035.605.408.32
P/B0.670.670.610.410.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.2%3.2%9.0%12.4%—
EPS Growth7.1%7.1%26.8%62.7%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$188.29

Spread vs growth

1.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$227.83

Spread vs growth

-0.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$366.93

Spread vs growth

-1.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.1%

Total return

+13.1%

Start / end P/E

13.0x → 13.5x

EPS bridge

147.18 → 157.69

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growth+7.1%
Multiple rerating+3.4%
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.