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9998.HK$0.40+3.90%
Fair $0.40+0.0%

9998.HK

Kwan Yong Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.40

+0.02 (+3.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.40Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9998.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Kwan Yong Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$320M

P/E

2.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

111.9x

↑

ROE

4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

5.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

9998.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.400Periodo -33.3%
Fair value: $0.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

13.2%

FCF / Net income

11.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $133.8M · net income $1.6M · FCF $17.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

5.8%+11.5% pts

Operating margin

-1.4%+7.3% pts

Net margin

1.2%+8.0% pts

FCF margin

13.2%+28.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$133.8M$133.8M$111.4M$77.8M$90.5M
Net Income$1.6M$1.6M$2.3M$-391000.00$-6.2M
EBITDA$2.5M$2.5M$4.9M$2.1M$-3.9M
EPS0.000.000.00-0.00—
Gross Margin5.8%5.8%7.7%4.8%-5.7%
Operating Margin-1.4%-1.4%1.2%-2.3%-8.7%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%2.1%-0.5%-6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.090.140.20
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.6M$17.6M$8.8M$-15.3M$-13.5M
Returns
ROE4.0%4.0%6.2%-1.1%-17.5%
Valuation
P/E2.862.8645.52——
EV/EBITDA111.87111.8718.3572.42—
P/B8.208.202.824.556.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.1%20.1%43.3%-14.1%—
EPS Growth-31.0%-31.0%680.0%——
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

160.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-191.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

84.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-115.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

42.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

-73.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +111.2%

Total return

+111.2%

Start / end P/E

66.9x → 200.0x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.00

Residual

-61.7%

EPS growth-31.0%
Multiple rerating+199.0%
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-61.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.