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AAA.PA$2.00-1.96%
Fair $2.00+0.0%

AAA.PA

Alan Allman Associates

Industrials / Consulting ServicesParis

$2.00

-0.04 (-1.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.2M · quality 43.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.58, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -23.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AAA.PALocal privado en este navegador · Alan Allman Associates
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$91M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

-23.6%

↓

Gross Margin

25.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

4.58

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

AAA.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.000Periodo -90.5%
Fair value: $2.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.0%

FCF CAGR

+18.9%

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

-3.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $330.4M · net income $-9.4M · FCF $30.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.0%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

4.8%-2.1% pts

Net margin

-2.8%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

9.2%+3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$330.4M$330.4M$374.3M$365.6M$320.7M
Net Income$-9.4M$-9.4M$-12.2M$5.7M$9.4M
EBITDA$23.8M$23.8M$33.2M$32.1M$28.7M
EPS——-0.270.130.21
Gross Margin25.0%25.0%25.4%26.0%24.6%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%5.6%6.3%6.9%
Net Margin-2.8%-2.8%-3.3%1.6%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.584.583.543.043.49
Current Ratio0.460.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$30.3M$30.3M$18.1M$25.2M$18.0M
Returns
ROE-23.6%-23.6%-23.0%8.8%19.5%
Valuation
P/E———81.5442.48
EV/EBITDA11.0411.0412.1720.7918.25
P/B2.282.284.277.428.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.7%-11.7%2.4%14.0%—
EPS Growth——-307.7%-38.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -55.3%

Total return

-55.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → n/d

Residual

-55.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-55.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.