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AALR3.SA$3.41-3.94%
Fair $3.41+0.0%

AALR3.SA

Alliança Saúde e Participações S.A.

Healthcare / Diagnostics & ResearchSão Paulo

$3.41

-0.14 (-3.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.41Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.8M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -11.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AALR3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Alliança Saúde e Participações S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$519M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

-11.8%

↓

Gross Margin

29.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.87

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$7

TradingView lightweight chart

AALR3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.410Periodo -82.2%
Fair value: $3.410

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.5%

FCF / Net income

1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.22B · net income $-129.1M · FCF $-140.4M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

29.2%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

9.3%+2.1% pts

Net margin

-10.6%-10.1% pts

FCF margin

-11.5%-15.8% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.22B$1.22B$1.18B$1.09B$1.14B
Net Income$-129.1M$-129.1M$-227.9M$-227.8M$-5.6M
EBITDA$184.7M$184.7M$96.5M$74.6M$206.4M
EPS-1.09-1.09-1.93-1.93-0.05
Gross Margin29.2%29.2%30.9%30.0%31.3%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%2.8%-4.0%7.2%
Net Margin-10.6%-10.6%-19.3%-21.0%-0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.870.871.431.410.91
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-140.4M$-140.4M$10.8M$74.3M$48.6M
Returns
ROE-11.8%-11.8%-24.8%-24.0%-0.5%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA6.716.7122.1848.5711.89
P/B0.370.371.142.641.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.2%3.2%8.7%-4.5%—
EPS Growth43.3%43.3%0.4%-3941.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -43.2%

Total return

-43.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.93 → -1.09

Residual

-43.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-43.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.