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AAP.AX$0.06+0.00%
Fair $0.06+0.0%

AAP.AX

Australian Agricultural Projects Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsASX

$0.06

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.06Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $42523.00 · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AAP.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Australian Agricultural Projects Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21M

P/E

17.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.4x

↑

ROE

9.7%

↑

Gross Margin

42.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.93

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

AAP.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.058Periodo -69.6%
Fair value: $0.058

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.9M · net income $1.3M · FCF $-729583.0

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

42.5%+6.1% pts

Operating margin

14.2%+10.1% pts

Net margin

32.1%+9.3% pts

FCF margin

-18.6%+29.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.9M$3.9M$2.6M$1.9M$2.6M
Net Income$1.3M$1.3M$534653.00$-246592.00$594969.00
EBITDA$2.1M$2.1M$1.4M$606733.00$1.6M
EPS0.000.000.00-0.00—
Gross Margin42.5%42.5%25.8%-6.9%36.4%
Operating Margin14.2%14.2%-14.2%-57.8%4.1%
Net Margin32.1%32.1%20.7%-12.9%22.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.930.931.390.820.71
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-729583.00$-729583.00$42523.00$786038.00$-1.2M
Returns
ROE9.7%9.7%5.4%-3.0%6.0%
Valuation
P/E17.0617.068.57——
EV/EBITDA15.3815.3813.3323.068.87
P/B1.661.660.460.890.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth51.7%51.7%35.4%-27.2%—
EPS Growth142.9%142.9%275.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

128.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

130.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

131.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.4%

Total return

+23.4%

Start / end P/E

33.6x → 17.1x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.00

Residual

-70.3%

EPS growth+142.9%
Multiple rerating-49.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-70.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.