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ABG.AX$0.98-4.83%
Fair $0.98+0.0%

ABG.AX

Abacus Group

Real Estate / REIT - DiversifiedASX

$0.98

-0.05 (-4.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.98Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 5.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ABG.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Abacus Group
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$880M

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

21.1x

↑

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

70.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.60

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

ABG.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.985Periodo -22.1%
Fair value: $0.985

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.9%

FCF CAGR

-24.9%

FCF margin

42.9%

FCF / Net income

2.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $152.6M · net income $26.9M · FCF $65.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

70.8%-6.6% pts

Operating margin

44.6%-7.2% pts

Net margin

17.6%-150.1% pts

FCF margin

42.9%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$152.6M$152.6M$144.4M$147.1M$308.4M
Net Income$26.9M$26.9M$-241.0M$25.5M$517.2M
EBITDA$85.1M$85.1M$-192.7M$-221.8M$590.5M
EPS0.030.03-0.270.030.61
Gross Margin70.8%70.8%69.8%71.5%77.4%
Operating Margin44.6%44.6%43.0%43.7%51.8%
Net Margin17.6%17.6%-167.0%17.3%167.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.580.300.49
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$65.4M$65.4M$75.9M$144.7M$154.5M
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%-15.0%0.8%14.8%
Valuation
P/E10.9410.94———
EV/EBITDA21.1221.12———
P/B0.560.560.63——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%-1.8%-52.3%—
EPS Growth111.2%111.2%-1046.3%-95.3%—
Dividend Yield8.6%8.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

68.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

82.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.17

Spread vs growth

92.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.3%

Total return

-9.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → 0.03

Residual

-17.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+8.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.