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ABMM.JK$2390.00-0.42%
Fair $2390.00+0.0%

ABMM.JK

PT ABM Investama Tbk

Energy / Thermal CoalJakarta

$2390.00

-10.00 (-0.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2390.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $75.9M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ABMM.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT ABM Investama Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.58T

P/E

5.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

41325.3x

↑

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

10.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.11

↑
52-Week Range$2390
$2200$3260

TradingView lightweight chart

ABMM.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,390Periodo -37.5%
Fair value: $2,390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.4%

FCF CAGR

+4.6%

FCF margin

15.4%

FCF / Net income

2.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.04B · net income $70.6M · FCF $159.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.0%-26.1% pts

Operating margin

4.1%-23.3% pts

Net margin

6.8%-11.9% pts

FCF margin

15.4%+5.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.04B$1.04B$1.20B$1.49B$1.45B
Net Income$70.6M$70.6M$139.4M$289.0M$269.9M
EBITDA$159.2M$159.2M$269.3M$483.1M$490.5M
EPS——0.050.100.10
Gross Margin10.0%10.0%10.9%26.3%36.1%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%6.1%17.3%27.4%
Net Margin6.8%6.8%11.6%19.4%18.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.111.111.161.371.71
Current Ratio1.041.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$159.5M$159.5M$75.9M$-47.5M$139.2M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%16.6%38.1%49.0%
Valuation
P/E5.815.8170723.0333723.9231109.75
EV/EBITDA41325.3341325.3336598.5420177.0217120.01
P/B7522.607522.6011714.1512840.5315257.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.5%-13.5%-19.6%3.3%—
EPS Growth——-51.8%7.1%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.8%

Total return

-20.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → n/d

Residual

-24.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-24.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.