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v0.1
ABNB$137.49+3.14%
Fair $137.49+0.0%

ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesNasdaqGS

$137.49

+4.18 (+3.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $137.49Fund rank 40/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5B · quality 87.7/100

Data gap 40/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 95/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 0unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ABNBLocal privado en este navegador · Airbnb, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$81.6B

P/E

33.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

31.9x

↑

ROE

30.6%

↑

Gross Margin

83.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$137
$111$147

TradingView lightweight chart

ABNB price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $137.49Periodo -5.0%
Fair value: $137.49

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.9%

FCF CAGR

+90.5%

FCF margin

38.0%

FCF / Net income

1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.24B · net income $2.51B · FCF $4.65B

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

83.0%— pts

Operating margin

20.8%+31.2% pts

Net margin

20.5%+34.5% pts

FCF margin

38.0%+35.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$12.24B$12.24B$11.10B$9.92B$8.40B$5.99B$3.38B$4.81B
Net Income$2.51B$2.51B$2.65B$4.79B$1.89B$-352.0M$-4.58B$-674.3M
EBITDA$2.54B$2.54B$2.55B$1.52B$1.97B$514.6M$-3.52B$-444.3M
EPS4.034.034.117.242.79———
Gross Margin83.0%83.0%83.1%82.8%82.2%———
Operating Margin20.8%20.8%23.0%15.3%22.5%7.2%-106.3%-10.4%
Net Margin20.5%20.5%23.9%48.3%22.5%-5.9%-135.7%-14.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.240.280.420.420.63—
Current Ratio1.441.44——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.65B$4.65B$4.52B$3.88B$3.43B$2.29B$-777.0M$97.3M
Returns
ROE30.6%30.6%31.5%58.7%34.0%-7.4%-158.0%83.5%
Valuation
P/E33.9533.9533.0218.7831.73———
EV/EBITDA31.9031.9032.4056.2927.97———
P/B10.4510.4510.4111.0210.83———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%11.9%18.1%—77.4%-29.7%—
EPS Growth-1.9%-1.9%-43.2%159.5%————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

44.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.20

Spread vs growth

-46.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$14.76

Spread vs growth

-31.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.77

Spread vs growth

-21.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.6%

Total return

+6.6%

Start / end P/E

31.4x → 34.1x

EPS bridge

4.11 → 4.03

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth-1.9%
Multiple rerating+8.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.