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ABP.MI$5.45+0.00%
Fair $5.45+0.0%

ABP.MI

Azienda Bresciana Petroli Nocivelli S.p.A.

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMilan

$5.45

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.45Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.5M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ABP.MILocal privado en este navegador · Azienda Bresciana Petroli Nocivelli S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$166M

P/E

13.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

14.9%

↑

Gross Margin

80.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

ABP.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.450Periodo +68.5%
Fair value: $5.450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

+29.0%

FCF margin

12.0%

FCF / Net income

0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $72.1M · net income $10.7M · FCF $8.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

80.7%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

18.6%+0.0% pts

Net margin

14.8%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

12.0%+5.4% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$72.1M$72.1M$75.8M$54.4M$61.0M
Net Income$10.7M$10.7M$10.6M$9.6M$8.6M
EBITDA$16.8M$16.8M$15.9M$14.4M$12.7M
EPS0.350.350.350.31—
Gross Margin80.7%80.7%74.3%85.7%82.3%
Operating Margin18.6%18.6%18.3%23.0%18.6%
Net Margin14.8%14.8%14.0%17.6%14.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.010.03
Current Ratio3.443.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.6M$8.6M$907621.00$7.5M$4.0M
Returns
ROE14.9%14.9%16.9%17.8%19.5%
Valuation
P/E13.6213.6210.9312.56—
EV/EBITDA7.047.044.765.586.11
P/B2.302.301.842.232.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.9%-4.9%39.5%-10.9%—
EPS Growth1.0%1.0%10.9%——
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.48

Spread vs growth

-10.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.59

Spread vs growth

-9.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.94

Spread vs growth

-9.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.1%

Total return

+8.1%

Start / end P/E

14.7x → 15.5x

EPS bridge

0.35 → 0.35

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth+1.0%
Multiple rerating+5.8%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.