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ACEL$12.18+2.44%
Fair $12.18+0.0%

ACEL

Accel Entertainment, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / GamblingNYSE

$12.18

+0.29 (+2.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.18Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 8/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $52.5M · quality 58.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 9Warnings: 1unknown: 9
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.25, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · ACELLocal privado en este navegador · Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$991M

P/E

20.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

19.1%

↑

Gross Margin

31.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.25

↑
52-Week Range$12
$10$13

TradingView lightweight chart

ACEL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.89Periodo +21.3%
Fair value: $12.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2017–2025 · 8 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+23.9%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.33B · net income $51.5M · FCF $52.5M

2017-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.3%— pts

Operating margin

8.1%— pts

Net margin

3.9%— pts

FCF margin

3.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Income Statement
Revenue$1.33B$1.33B$1.23B$1.17B$969.8M———$0.00$0.00
Net Income$51.5M$51.5M$35.3M$45.6M$74.1M$31.6M$-410000.00$-36.8M$10.8M$8.3M
EBITDA$184.3M$184.3M$156.2M$158.0M$163.2M$94.8M————
EPS0.600.600.410.530.810.33-0.02-0.590.170.14
Gross Margin31.3%31.3%30.2%30.2%30.8%—————
Operating Margin8.1%8.1%7.4%9.2%10.0%—————
Net Margin3.9%3.9%2.9%3.9%7.6%—————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.252.252.332.733.042.042.52-7.782.96—
Current Ratio2.712.71————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$52.5M$52.5M$54.7M$50.8M$60.6M$81.0M$-29.5M$24.8M$21.1M$9.5M
Returns
ROE19.1%19.1%13.8%23.0%41.5%19.9%-0.3%85.5%18.9%18.7%
Valuation
P/E20.3020.3025.9018.5810.52—————
EV/EBITDA7.407.407.797.196.71—————
P/B3.903.903.544.314.35—————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%5.2%20.7%——————
EPS Growth46.3%46.3%-22.6%-34.6%—1750.0%96.6%-447.1%21.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.08

Spread vs growth

24.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.31

Spread vs growth

29.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.11

Spread vs growth

33.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.6%

Total return

+8.6%

Start / end P/E

27.4x → 20.3x

EPS bridge

0.41 → 0.60

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growth+46.3%
Multiple rerating-25.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.