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v0.1
ADP$234.55+5.73%
Fair $234.55+0.0%

ADP

Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationNasdaqGS

$234.55

+12.71 (+5.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $234.55Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.6B · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 0unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ADPLocal privado en este navegador · Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$93.8B

P/E

21.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.0x

↑

ROE

65.9%

↑

Gross Margin

46.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.46

↑
52-Week Range$235
$188$330

TradingView lightweight chart

ADP price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $234.55Periodo +468.8%
Fair value: $234.55

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.4%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.56B · net income $4.08B · FCF $4.39B

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.0%— pts

Operating margin

26.3%— pts

Net margin

19.8%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

21.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$20.56B$20.56B$19.20B$18.01B$16.50B$15.01B$14.59B$14.11B$13.27B$12.37B$8.23B$7.93B$7.60B$7.06B$8.34B$7.76B$7.08B$7.05B$7.00B
Net Income$4.08B$4.08B$3.75B$3.41B$2.95B$2.60B$2.47B$2.29B$1.88B$1.79B$1.49B$1.45B$1.52B$1.41B$1.39B$1.25B$1.21B$1.33B$1.24B
EBITDA$6.35B$6.35B$5.80B$5.24B$4.40B——————————————
EPS9.989.989.108.217.006.075.705.244.253.973.253.053.142.892.482.212.112.312.05
Gross Margin46.0%46.0%45.4%44.7%42.6%——————————————
Operating Margin26.3%26.3%25.8%25.0%23.1%——————————————
Net Margin19.8%19.8%19.5%18.9%17.9%17.3%16.9%16.2%14.2%14.5%18.1%18.3%20.0%19.9%16.6%16.2%17.1%18.9%17.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.461.460.730.951.040.530.170.370.420.500.45————0.010.010.01—
Current Ratio1.041.04—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.39B$4.39B$3.59B$3.64B$2.55B——————————————
Returns
ROE65.9%65.9%82.5%97.2%91.4%45.8%42.9%42.5%39.8%45.0%33.3%30.2%22.7%22.7%22.7%20.9%22.1%25.0%—
Valuation
P/E21.9021.9025.8926.6431.04——————————————
EV/EBITDA16.0016.0016.8217.5921.23——————————————
P/B15.4915.4921.3525.9128.37——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%6.6%9.2%—2.8%3.4%6.3%7.3%50.3%3.9%4.4%7.6%-15.4%7.5%9.6%0.4%0.8%—
EPS Growth9.7%9.7%10.8%17.3%—6.5%8.8%23.3%7.1%22.2%6.6%-2.9%8.7%16.7%11.9%5.0%-8.7%12.4%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$20.81

Spread vs growth

-18.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$25.18

Spread vs growth

-10.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$40.56

Spread vs growth

-5.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.9%

Total return

-24.9%

Start / end P/E

35.8x → 23.5x

EPS bridge

9.10 → 9.98

Residual

-3.3%

EPS growth+9.7%
Multiple rerating-34.3%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.