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ADTR.ST$37.80+0.80%
Fair $37.80+0.0%

ADTR.ST

Adtraction Group AB

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesStockholm

$37.80

+0.30 (+0.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.80Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $65.9M · quality 56.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 59/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -9.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ADTR.STLocal privado en este navegador · Adtraction Group AB
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$628M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↑

ROE

-9.5%

↓

Gross Margin

19.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$38
$26$40

TradingView lightweight chart

ADTR.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.80Periodo -44.0%
Fair value: $37.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.6%

FCF CAGR

+21.9%

FCF margin

5.8%

FCF / Net income

-3.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.19B · net income $-19.9M · FCF $68.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.5%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-1.4%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-1.7%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

5.8%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.19B$1.19B$1.20B$1.34B$925.7M
Net Income$-19.9M$-19.9M$-13.0M$-1.3M$20.0M
EBITDA$54.9M$54.9M$60.9M$75.3M$40.1M
EPS-1.20-1.20-0.78-0.081.70
Gross Margin19.5%19.5%19.5%18.9%18.6%
Operating Margin-1.4%-1.4%-1.6%0.5%2.7%
Net Margin-1.7%-1.7%-1.1%-0.1%2.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$68.7M$68.7M$49.6M$65.9M$38.0M
Returns
ROE-9.5%-9.5%-4.7%-0.4%13.3%
Valuation
P/E————21.77
EV/EBITDA9.189.187.488.987.33
P/B2.982.982.042.542.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.3%-1.3%-10.5%45.2%—
EPS Growth-53.9%-53.9%-862.7%-104.8%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.5%

Total return

+38.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.78 → -1.20

Residual

+32.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+32.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.