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Recent

v0.1
ADV$37.44+0.05%
Fair $37.44+0.0%

ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqGS

$37.44

+0.02 (+0.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.44Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $37.8M · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 8Warnings: 3unknown: 8
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.08, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -41.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ADVLocal privado en este navegador · Advantage Solutions Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$498M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

25.7x

↑

ROE

-41.1%

↓

Gross Margin

14.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.08

↑
52-Week Range$37
$12$54

TradingView lightweight chart

ADV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.44Periodo -85.6%
Fair value: $37.44

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2018–2025 · 7 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

-27.2%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.54B · net income $-227.7M · FCF $8.6M

2018-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.0%— pts

Operating margin

0.5%+29.8% pts

Net margin

-6.4%+24.8% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Income Statement
Revenue$3.54B$3.54B$3.57B$3.90B$3.65B$3.60B$3.16B$3.79B$3.71B
Net Income$-227.7M$-227.7M$-327.0M$-63.3M$-1.38B$54.5M$-175.8M$-21.2M$-1.16B
EBITDA$75.9M$75.9M$-89.8M$255.7M$-1.26B$470.1M$305.6M$446.2M$-864.7M
EPS-17.50-17.50-25.50-5.00-108.254.25-19.75-2.50—
Gross Margin14.0%14.0%14.2%12.4%13.0%————
Operating Margin0.5%0.5%-0.6%0.7%2.2%6.4%2.1%5.6%-29.4%
Net Margin-6.4%-6.4%-9.2%-1.6%-37.9%1.5%-5.6%-0.6%-31.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.083.082.321.731.880.820.842.01—
Current Ratio1.951.95———————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.6M$8.6M$37.8M$186.9M$71.7M$94.8M$314.8M$98.9M$79.2M
Returns
ROE-41.1%-41.1%-43.7%-5.7%-122.8%2.2%-7.3%-1.3%-69.3%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA25.7225.72—11.70—————
P/B0.880.881.141.090.62————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%-8.6%7.0%—14.2%-16.6%2.1%—
EPS Growth31.4%31.4%-410.0%95.4%—121.5%-690.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.8%

Total return

+25.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-25.50 → -17.50

Residual

+25.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.