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ADV.VI$23.10+0.00%
Fair $23.10+0.0%

ADV.VI

Adtran Networks SE

Technology / Communication EquipmentVienna

$23.10

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.10Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.8M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -16.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ADV.VILocal privado en este navegador · Adtran Networks SE
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

30.4x

↑

ROE

-16.2%

↓

Gross Margin

35.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.25

↑
52-Week Range$23
$20$24

TradingView lightweight chart

ADV.VI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.10Periodo +352.2%
Fair value: $23.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.1%

FCF CAGR

-79.0%

FCF margin

0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $438.1M · net income $-62.7M · FCF $550000.0

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

35.6%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

-8.1%-15.7% pts

Net margin

-14.3%-24.1% pts

FCF margin

0.1%-9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$438.1M$438.1M$613.7M$712.1M$603.3M
Net Income$-62.7M$-62.7M$-12.2M$18.1M$59.2M
EBITDA$41.9M$41.9M$78.4M$95.0M$118.5M
EPS-1.20-1.20-0.240.351.15
Gross Margin35.6%35.6%35.6%33.0%36.2%
Operating Margin-8.1%-8.1%2.1%2.7%7.5%
Net Margin-14.3%-14.3%-2.0%2.5%9.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.110.210.21
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$550000.00$550000.00$-22.8M$-58.3M$59.0M
Returns
ROE-16.2%-16.2%-3.1%4.9%17.4%
Valuation
P/E———62.5712.02
EV/EBITDA30.4530.4513.4712.175.74
P/B3.103.102.633.072.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-28.6%-28.6%-13.8%18.0%—
EPS Growth-400.0%-400.0%-168.6%-69.6%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.4%

Total return

+14.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.24 → -1.20

Residual

+12.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.