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v0.1
ADVE.ST$19.82-2.36%
Fair $19.82+0.0%

ADVE.ST

Advenica AB (publ)

Technology / Software - InfrastructureStockholm

$19.82

-0.48 (-2.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.82Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.6M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ADVE.STLocal privado en este navegador · Advenica AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$872M

P/E

180.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

↑

ROE

14.5%

↑

Gross Margin

53.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$20
$13$30

TradingView lightweight chart

ADVE.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.82Periodo +92.9%
Fair value: $19.82

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $203.3M · net income $16.6M · FCF $-10.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.6%-5.4% pts

Operating margin

9.2%+10.8% pts

Net margin

8.2%+9.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-24.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$203.3M$203.3M$162.2M$148.9M$118.4M
Net Income$16.6M$16.6M$8.0M$-4.1M$-2.0M
EBITDA$32.9M$32.9M$23.2M$9.9M$75000.00
EPS——0.18-0.09-0.05
Gross Margin53.6%53.6%55.7%58.0%58.9%
Operating Margin9.2%9.2%3.7%-3.6%-1.6%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%5.0%-2.8%-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.200.300.12
Current Ratio2.422.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-10.2M$-10.2M$43.2M$-4.6M$22.7M
Returns
ROE14.5%14.5%7.9%-4.4%-2.0%
Valuation
P/E180.18180.1854.44——
EV/EBITDA23.9823.9814.3333.514723.71
P/B7.627.624.244.134.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.4%25.4%8.9%25.7%—
EPS Growth——300.0%-80.0%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.7%

Total return

-6.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.18 → n/d

Residual

-7.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.