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ADW-B.TO$6.80-0.73%
Fair $6.80+0.0%

ADW-B.TO

Andrew Peller Limited

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesToronto

$6.80

-0.05 (-0.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.80Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $22.3M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ADW-B.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Andrew Peller Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$297M

P/E

14.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.9x

↓

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

39.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.83

↑
52-Week Range$7
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

ADW-B.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.800Periodo +337.1%
Fair value: $6.800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.9%

FCF / Net income

3.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $389.6M · net income $11.1M · FCF $42.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.9%+5.2% pts

Operating margin

10.1%+5.5% pts

Net margin

2.9%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

10.9%+12.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$389.6M$389.6M$385.9M$382.1M$373.9M
Net Income$11.1M$11.1M$-2.9M$-3.4M$12.5M
EBITDA$57.6M$57.6M$36.9M$34.8M$47.8M
EPS0.250.25-0.07-0.080.29
Gross Margin39.9%39.9%36.4%34.6%34.7%
Operating Margin10.1%10.1%4.8%3.9%4.6%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%-0.7%-0.9%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.830.830.940.900.78
Current Ratio4.434.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.6M$42.6M$22.3M$-6.6M$-7.3M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%-1.2%-1.3%4.7%
Valuation
P/E14.7814.78——31.03
EV/EBITDA7.907.9011.0012.6710.97
P/B1.031.030.740.841.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.0%1.0%1.0%2.2%—
EPS Growth457.1%457.1%12.5%-127.6%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

34.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.60

Spread vs growth

423.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.73

Spread vs growth

433.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.18

Spread vs growth

440.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.5%

Total return

+16.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → 0.25

Residual

+13.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.