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AEGN.AT$12.39+2.40%
Fair $12.39+0.0%

AEGN.AT

Aegean Airlines S.A.

Industrials / AirlinesAthens

$12.39

+0.29 (+2.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.39Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $278.3M · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.88, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · AEGN.ATLocal privado en este navegador · Aegean Airlines S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

7.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

26.0%

↑

Gross Margin

-0.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.88

↑
52-Week Range$12
$11$15

TradingView lightweight chart

AEGN.AT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.39Periodo +46.8%
Fair value: $12.39

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

-31.9%

FCF margin

4.3%

FCF / Net income

0.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.67B · net income $147.8M · FCF $71.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-0.5%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

13.1%+0.9% pts

Net margin

8.8%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

4.3%-14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.67B$1.67B$1.60B$1.54B$1.21B
Net Income$147.8M$147.8M$129.9M$170.0M$108.0M
EBITDA$463.0M$463.0M$402.8M$434.6M$311.3M
EPS1.651.651.451.871.20
Gross Margin-0.5%-0.5%1.5%3.9%-2.1%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%14.2%16.1%12.2%
Net Margin8.8%8.8%8.1%11.1%8.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.882.882.872.672.88
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$71.3M$71.3M$283.3M$278.3M$226.1M
Returns
ROE26.0%26.0%26.0%40.4%31.0%
Valuation
P/E7.517.517.176.144.69
EV/EBITDA4.524.524.443.643.37
P/B1.951.951.862.461.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%4.2%27.1%—
EPS Growth13.9%13.9%-22.6%56.1%—
Dividend Yield7.3%7.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.10

Spread vs growth

26.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.33

Spread vs growth

18.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.14

Spread vs growth

11.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.1%

Total return

+6.1%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 7.5x

EPS bridge

1.45 → 1.65

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth+13.9%
Multiple rerating-13.3%
Dividend+7.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.