StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
AEL.AX$1.67-2.95%
Fair $1.67+0.0%

AEL.AX

Amplitude Energy Ltd

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PASX

$1.67

-0.05 (-2.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.67Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-166.2M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -27.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AEL.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Amplitude Energy Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$501M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-27.3%

↓

Gross Margin

41.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

AEL.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.645Periodo +33.9%
Fair value: $1.670

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-75.9%

FCF / Net income

1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $219.0M · net income $-114.1M · FCF $-166.2M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

41.0%+30.4% pts

Operating margin

-43.7%-23.9% pts

Net margin

-52.1%-29.3% pts

FCF margin

-75.9%-55.8% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$219.0M$219.0M$196.9M$203.8M$131.6M
Net Income$-114.1M$-114.1M$-68.5M$-10.6M$-30.0M
EBITDA$-48.8M$-48.8M$-35.5M$-4.6M$-17.4M
EPS-0.47-0.47-0.28-0.07—
Gross Margin41.0%41.0%35.2%23.4%10.6%
Operating Margin-43.7%-43.7%-39.7%-5.2%-19.8%
Net Margin-52.1%-52.1%-34.8%-5.2%-22.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.310.340.71
Current Ratio3.323.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-166.2M$-166.2M$-212.8M$36.9M$-26.5M
Returns
ROE-27.3%-27.3%-13.8%-2.1%-9.2%
Valuation
P/B0.960.960.760.76—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.2%11.2%-3.4%54.9%—
EPS Growth-65.4%-65.4%-306.2%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.9%

Total return

-17.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.28 → -0.47

Residual

-17.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.