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AEP.L$1604.00-3.44%
Fair $1604.00+0.0%

AEP.L

AEP Plantations Plc

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsLSE

$1604.00

-62.00 (-3.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1604.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 66/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $44.9M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

66/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AEP.LLocal privado en este navegador · AEP Plantations Plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$616M

P/E

9.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

453.7x

↑

ROE

15.7%

↑

Gross Margin

26.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1604
$758$2290

TradingView lightweight chart

AEP.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,738Periodo +3483.5%
Fair value: $1,604

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.3%

FCF CAGR

-1.1%

FCF margin

18.0%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $465.2M · net income $90.9M · FCF $83.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.6%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

24.0%-4.4% pts

Net margin

19.5%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

18.0%-1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$465.2M$465.2M$372.3M$370.4M$447.6M
Net Income$90.9M$90.9M$67.5M$53.2M$88.9M
EBITDA$138.3M$138.3M$107.1M$94.3M$149.7M
EPS2.312.311.711.382.01
Gross Margin26.6%26.6%23.8%21.1%30.7%
Operating Margin24.0%24.0%21.8%18.8%28.4%
Net Margin19.5%19.5%18.1%14.4%19.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio8.698.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$83.6M$83.6M$44.9M$-1.6M$86.5M
Returns
ROE15.7%15.7%12.3%10.4%19.1%
Valuation
P/E9.339.33371.02501.30401.11
EV/EBITDA453.70453.70232.11289.67211.96
P/B108.48108.4845.4653.4568.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.0%25.0%0.5%-17.2%—
EPS Growth35.4%35.4%23.4%-31.1%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

294.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$142.33

Spread vs growth

-259.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

136.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$172.22

Spread vs growth

-101.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

61.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$277.36

Spread vs growth

-26.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +134.9%

Total return

+134.9%

Start / end P/E

443.6x → 751.0x

EPS bridge

1.71 → 2.31

Residual

+24.6%

EPS growth+35.4%
Multiple rerating+69.3%
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+24.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.