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AGCC$16.99-5.56%
Fair $16.99+0.0%

AGCC

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesNasdaqCM

$16.99

-1.00 (-5.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.99Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 1/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-274522.00 · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AGCCLocal privado en este navegador · Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$387M

P/E

424.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

388.7x

↑

ROE

6.2%

↓

Gross Margin

30.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.29

↑
52-Week Range$17
$4$26

TradingView lightweight chart

AGCC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.99Periodo +180.8%
Fair value: $16.99

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+164.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-120.8%

FCF / Net income

-12.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.2M · net income $609382.0 · FCF $-7.5M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.4%-10.6% pts

Operating margin

12.6%-21.1% pts

Net margin

9.8%-17.1% pts

FCF margin

-120.8%-89.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$6.2M$6.2M$2.5M$887310.00
Net Income$609382.00$609382.00$779278.00$239288.00
EBITDA$860681.00$860681.00$1.0M$310456.00
EPS——0.060.02
Gross Margin30.4%30.4%49.9%41.0%
Operating Margin12.6%12.6%40.0%33.7%
Net Margin9.8%9.8%30.7%27.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.291.290.070.10
Current Ratio1.531.53——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.5M$-7.5M$-236837.00$-274522.00
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%41.0%19.8%
Valuation
P/E424.75424.75——
EV/EBITDA388.74388.74——
P/B34.2234.22——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth144.6%144.6%186.0%—
EPS Growth——226.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total +180.8%

Total return

+180.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.06 → n/d

Residual

+180.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+180.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.