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AGES-B.ST$46.80-0.43%
Fair $46.80+0.0%

AGES-B.ST

AGES Industri AB (publ)

Industrials / Metal FabricationStockholm

$46.80

-0.20 (-0.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $46.80Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $51.8M · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · AGES-B.STLocal privado en este navegador · AGES Industri AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$339M

P/E

16.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

5.2%

↓

Gross Margin

13.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.58

↑
52-Week Range$47
$45$68

TradingView lightweight chart

AGES-B.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $46.80Periodo -66.6%
Fair value: $46.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.6%

FCF CAGR

-2.0%

FCF margin

5.1%

FCF / Net income

2.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $880.0M · net income $16.2M · FCF $45.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.7%+5.4% pts

Operating margin

4.3%+0.8% pts

Net margin

1.8%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

5.1%+1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$880.0M$880.0M$931.4M$1.50B$1.32B
Net Income$16.2M$16.2M$-156.0M$58.3M$34.1M
EBITDA$86.6M$86.6M$318.2M$150.8M$104.5M
EPS2.242.24-21.778.074.85
Gross Margin13.7%13.7%15.8%9.9%8.3%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%6.7%5.8%3.6%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%-16.8%3.9%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.580.580.810.570.72
Current Ratio1.151.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.3M$45.3M$51.8M$74.1M$48.2M
Returns
ROE5.2%5.2%-50.8%12.8%8.5%
Valuation
P/E16.1416.14—9.857.55
EV/EBITDA5.915.912.265.455.13
P/B1.101.101.581.260.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%-38.0%14.0%—
EPS Growth110.3%110.3%-369.8%66.4%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.15

Spread vs growth

87.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.02

Spread vs growth

92.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$8.09

Spread vs growth

96.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.0%

Total return

-8.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-21.77 → 2.24

Residual

-10.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.