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AGH$4.33-2.78%
Fair $4.33+0.0%

AGH

Aureus Greenway Holdings Inc

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureNasdaqGM

$4.33

-0.12 (-2.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.33Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-37003.00 · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -11.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AGHLocal privado en este navegador · Aureus Greenway Holdings Inc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$94M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-11.2%

↓

Gross Margin

43.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$4
$1$8

TradingView lightweight chart

AGH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.200Periodo +8.2%
Fair value: $4.330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-104.7%

FCF / Net income

0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.0M · net income $-3.7M · FCF $-3.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.5%-15.3% pts

Operating margin

-148.6%-164.2% pts

Net margin

-124.0%-134.8% pts

FCF margin

-104.7%-116.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.0M$3.0M$3.3M$3.6M$3.0M
Net Income$-3.7M$-3.7M$-183700.00$386128.00$323193.00
EBITDA$-3.5M$-3.5M$63899.00$455463.00$640517.00
EPS——-0.010.030.02
Gross Margin43.5%43.5%51.2%58.0%58.8%
Operating Margin-148.6%-148.6%-5.5%7.1%15.6%
Net Margin-124.0%-124.0%-5.6%10.9%10.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.910.921.44
Current Ratio44.3444.34———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.1M$-3.1M$-37003.00$596643.00$368674.00
Returns
ROE-11.2%-11.2%-17.2%31.0%37.6%
Valuation
P/B2.022.02———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.1%-10.1%-7.2%18.1%—
EPS Growth——-147.6%19.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +616.3%

Total return

+616.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → n/d

Residual

+616.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+616.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.