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AGI.AX$1.53+9.29%
Fair $1.53+0.0%

AGI.AX

Ainsworth Game Technology Limited

Consumer Cyclical / GamblingASX

$1.53

+0.13 (+9.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.53Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.2M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -5.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AGI.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Ainsworth Game Technology Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$515M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-5.9%

↓

Gross Margin

46.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

AGI.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.530Periodo +65.8%
Fair value: $1.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.4%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $231.2M · net income $-19.2M · FCF $-17.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.3%-4.6% pts

Operating margin

-29.7%+12.8% pts

Net margin

-8.3%-15.4% pts

FCF margin

-7.4%-32.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$231.2M$231.2M$201.5M$215.2M$167.1M
Net Income$-19.2M$-19.2M$30.3M$-9.0M$11.8M
EBITDA$-40.7M$-40.7M$-42.1M$-34.4M$39.9M
EPS-0.06-0.060.09-0.030.03
Gross Margin46.3%46.3%48.5%49.1%50.9%
Operating Margin-29.7%-29.7%-34.2%-26.5%-42.5%
Net Margin-8.3%-8.3%15.0%-4.2%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.050.030.03
Current Ratio3.923.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-17.1M$-17.1M$-8.2M$11.3M$42.0M
Returns
ROE-5.9%-5.9%8.4%-2.9%2.6%
Valuation
P/E——8.89—26.93
EV/EBITDA————7.02
P/B1.571.570.751.460.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.7%14.7%-6.4%28.7%—
EPS Growth-166.7%-166.7%435.8%-176.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +73.9%

Total return

+73.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.09 → -0.06

Residual

+73.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+73.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.