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AGL$87.09-5.89%
Fair $87.09+0.0%

AGL

agilon health, inc.

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesNYSE

$87.09

-5.45 (-5.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $87.09Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-148.9M · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 1unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AGLLocal privado en este navegador · agilon health, inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-308.8%

↓

Gross Margin

-2.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.29

↑
52-Week Range$87
$7$95

TradingView lightweight chart

AGL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $92.54Periodo -88.1%
Fair value: $87.09

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+39.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.93B · net income $-391.3M · FCF $-148.9M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-2.7%— pts

Operating margin

-7.2%+6.2% pts

Net margin

-6.6%+29.0% pts

FCF margin

-2.5%+10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$5.93B$5.93B$6.06B$4.32B$2.39B$1.52B$1.22B$794.4M
Net Income$-391.3M$-391.3M$-260.2M$-262.6M$-106.6M$-406.5M$-60.1M$-282.6M
EBITDA$-368.9M$-368.9M$-218.2M$-167.6M$-72.4M$-357.6M$-42.6M$-65.2M
EPS-23.75-23.75-15.75-16.00-6.50———
Gross Margin-2.7%-2.7%0.1%1.6%4.7%———
Operating Margin-7.2%-7.2%-4.8%-5.4%-4.4%-24.5%-4.7%-13.4%
Net Margin-6.6%-6.6%-4.3%-6.1%-4.5%-26.7%-4.9%-35.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.090.070.050.04-0.23—
Current Ratio1.041.04——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-148.9M$-148.9M$-99.1M$-187.0M$-163.5M$-154.7M$-55.0M$-106.8M
Returns
ROE-308.8%-308.8%-55.2%-39.7%-10.2%-37.2%21.1%—
Valuation
P/B11.3811.381.825.336.03———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.1%-2.1%40.4%80.7%—24.9%53.4%—
EPS Growth-50.8%-50.8%1.6%-146.2%————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.8%

Total return

+54.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-15.75 → -23.75

Residual

+54.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+54.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.