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AGMH$1.18-3.83%
Fair $1.18+0.0%

AGMH

AGM Group Holdings Inc.

Technology / Computer HardwareNasdaqCM

$1.18

-0.05 (-3.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.18Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.7M · quality 27.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · AGMHLocal privado en este navegador · AGM Group Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3M

P/E

0.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

14.3%

↑

Gross Margin

21.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1
$1$18

TradingView lightweight chart

AGMH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.180Periodo -99.6%
Fair value: $1.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

22.2%

FCF / Net income

2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $32.0M · net income $3.1M · FCF $7.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

21.4%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

18.6%+5.1% pts

Net margin

9.7%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

22.2%+28.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$32.0M$32.0M$68.8M$203.1M$36.7M
Net Income$3.1M$3.1M$-7.4M$11.5M$3.6M
EBITDA$6.0M$6.0M$15.9M$12.7M$5.1M
EPS0.130.13-15.5023.508.00
Gross Margin21.4%21.4%4.6%20.8%18.0%
Operating Margin18.6%18.6%23.0%6.2%13.5%
Net Margin9.7%9.7%-10.8%5.7%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.280.06
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.1M$7.1M$-1.7M$-17.4M$-2.2M
Returns
ROE14.3%14.3%-38.3%37.7%14.2%
Valuation
P/E0.040.04—3.3815.06
EV/EBITDA4.604.602.733.386.93
P/B1.311.312.311.272.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-53.4%-53.4%-66.1%453.3%—
EPS Growth100.8%100.8%-166.0%193.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

107.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

101.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.20

Spread vs growth

96.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -58.0%

Total return

-58.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-15.50 → 0.13

Residual

-58.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-58.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.