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AGS.SI$2.57-1.91%
Fair $2.57+0.0%

AGS.SI

The Hour Glass Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsSES

$2.57

-0.05 (-1.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.57Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 70/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $133.4M · quality 76.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

70/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AGS.SILocal privado en este navegador · The Hour Glass Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

9.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

16.8%

↑

Gross Margin

30.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

AGS.SI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.570Periodo +15320.6%
Fair value: $2.570

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.0%

FCF CAGR

+41.2%

FCF margin

14.1%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.34B · net income $179.4M · FCF $188.1M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

30.4%-3.2% pts

Operating margin

14.6%-4.2% pts

Net margin

13.4%-1.9% pts

FCF margin

14.1%+8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$1.34B$1.34B$1.16B$1.13B$1.12B
Net Income$179.4M$179.4M$135.8M$156.5M$172.4M
EBITDA$298.2M$298.2M$232.3M$255.7M$266.1M
EPS——0.210.240.26
Gross Margin30.4%30.4%30.9%32.2%33.6%
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%14.2%16.7%18.8%
Net Margin13.4%13.4%11.7%13.9%15.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.160.210.22
Current Ratio3.833.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$188.1M$188.1M$133.4M$112.2M$66.8M
Returns
ROE16.8%16.8%14.7%18.4%22.3%
Valuation
P/E9.189.187.406.708.49
EV/EBITDA5.705.704.213.865.21
P/B1.541.541.081.241.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.1%15.1%2.9%0.6%—
EPS Growth——-12.3%-7.9%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +62.0%

Total return

+62.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.21 → n/d

Residual

+59.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+59.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.