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AIRAL.XC$5.44+1.49%
Fair $5.44+0.0%

AIRAL.XC

Air Astana Joint Stock Company

Industrials / AirlinesCboe UK

$5.44

+0.08 (+1.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.44Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $266.2M · quality 56.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.84, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AIRAL.XCLocal privado en este navegador · Air Astana Joint Stock Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$489M

P/E

35.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.84

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$7

TradingView lightweight chart

AIRAL.XC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.440Periodo -46.7%
Fair value: $5.440

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

-14.5%

FCF margin

13.4%

FCF / Net income

13.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.41B · net income $13.6M · FCF $189.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%-9.0% pts

Operating margin

3.0%-10.4% pts

Net margin

1.0%-6.7% pts

FCF margin

13.4%-16.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.41B$1.41B$1.27B$1.17B$1.02B
Net Income$13.6M$13.6M$52.8M$68.7M$78.4M
EBITDA$332.3M$332.3M$320.2M$298.5M$275.1M
EPS0.150.150.600.770.88
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%16.1%19.6%21.6%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%7.3%11.0%13.4%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%4.1%5.9%7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.842.842.253.374.89
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$189.1M$189.1M$266.2M$269.6M$302.0M
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%13.4%32.2%51.5%
Valuation
P/E35.7935.7910.20——
EV/EBITDA3.193.192.93——
P/B1.301.301.36——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.6%10.6%9.1%14.3%—
EPS Growth-74.8%-74.8%-21.6%-12.4%—
Dividend Yield7.7%7.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.48

Spread vs growth

-121.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

-105.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.94

Spread vs growth

-94.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.6%

Total return

+5.6%

Start / end P/E

9.2x → 35.8x

EPS bridge

0.60 → 0.15

Residual

-216.1%

EPS growth-74.8%
Multiple rerating+288.8%
Dividend+7.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-216.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.